UFC 272 descends this Saturday from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It’s another major event, headlined by a friends-turned-foes main event between top welterweights Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal.
Covington have suffered two losses in their last three to current Division King Kamaru Usman, but they have clearly been the opponent who has caused Usman the most problems during his reign. He achieved interim champion status during a seven-fight winning streak where he topped Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos and Robbie Lawler. Masvidal, meanwhile, is also coming off back-to-back losses to Usman, the most recent being a devastating knockout. The pair of losses stalled what became an incredible run in 2019 where “Gamebred” picked up three stoppage wins over Darren Till, Ben Askren and Nate Diaz.
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In the co-main event, a strange journey for Rafael dos Anjos comes to an end as the former lightweight champion takes on late replacement Renato Moicano. Moicano replaces Rafael Fiziev, whose fight with dos Anjos was delayed from his February Fight Night headlining spot at UFC 272, only for Fiziev to test positive for COVID-19 and be ejected from the fight.
With so much going on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before we get to our staff’s predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities.
UFC 272 fight card, odds
- Colby Covington -330 vs. Jorge Masvidal +260, welterweight
- Rafael dos Anjos -180 vs. Renato Moicano +155, 160lb catchweight
- Bryce Mitchell -155 vs. Edson Barboza +130, featherweight
- Kevin Holland -340 vs. Alex Oliveira +270, welterweight
- Serghei Spivac -195 vs. Greg Hardy +165, heavyweights
- Marina Rodriguez -270 vs. Yan Xiaonan +220, Women’s Strawweight
- Mariya Agapova -180 vs. Maryna Moroz +155, Women’s Flyweight
- Jalin Turner -155 vs. Jamie Mullarkey +130, lightweights
- Kennedy Nzechukwu -140 vs Nicolae Negumereanu +120, light heavyweights
- Tagir Ulanbekov -230 vs. Tim Elliott +190, flyweight
- Umar Nurmagomedov -800 vs. Brian Kelleher +550, bantamweight
- Devonte Smith -150 vs L’udovit Klein +125, lightweights
- Dustin Jacoby -200 vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk +170, light heavyweights
With such a massive main event, the CBS Sports team went ahead with predictions and picks for the main card. Here are your selectors: Brent Brookhouse (combat sports writer), Brian Campbell (combat sports writer, “Morning Kombat” co-host), Shakiel Mahjouri (writer), Michael Mormile (producer) and Brandon Wise (content writer). chief).
UFC 272 Picks, Predictions
|Masvidal vs. Covington||Masvidal||Masvidal||Covington||Covington||Masvidal|
|Dos Anjos vs. Moicano||Moicano||Moicano||dos Anjos||dos Anjos||Moicano|
|Barboza vs. Mitchell||Mitchell||Mitchell||Barboza||Barboza||Barboza|
|Holland v Oliveira||Holland||Holland||Holland||Holland||Holland|
|Spivac vs. Hardy||Spivac||Spivac||Spivac||Robust||Spivac|
|Records to date (2022)||4-6||4-6||3-7||6-4||6-4|
Masvidal vs. Covington
Campbell: On paper, this isn’t just a nightmarish stylistic matchup for Masvidal, there’s plenty of reason to believe the fresher Covington could produce a clean 50-45 sweep on the fight alone. Still, the volatile nature of that “best friends turned foe” theme that has dominated the promotion could open the door for Masvidal to lure his former teammate into a real fight. The two welterweights have the experience of fighting together for years and Masvidal seems just as focused (and pissed off) since his 2019 revival campaign when he went from journeyman to headlining pay-per-view .
Mahjouri: Make no mistake, Covington is your UFC welterweight champion in a reality where Kamaru Usman doesn’t exist. Covington presents many of the same challenges that Masvidal failed to overcome in Usman’s first fight: forward pressure, stifling wrestling, endless stamina and a strong chin. Masvidal has a big edge in three-time NCAA Division I national champion Bo Nickal, but I don’t think that will be enough to fully close the gaps needed to beat Covington. “Chaos” is 3-2 in five-round bouts while Masvidal is 0-3. It’s the kind of game Covington thrives in. Expect overwhelming pressure, strikes and takedowns as Covington tackles Masvidal’s stamina. Covington by unanimous decision.
Stream: There is no reason to think Masvidal is winning this fight. That said, the majority of us pick it to achieve victory. Call it a gut feeling or maybe just a belief that Covington will feel he has to prove something by engaging in a misguided strike war, confusing Masvidal with the downed version of Robbie Lawler he dominated in 2019. which I’m not suggesting it’s impossible for Covington to score the knockout, his power is the worst part of his game. Standing in front of Masvidal and trading blows could spell disaster for Covington because Masvidal is looking to knock you out, not send you and hope the knockout comes like Usman. Covington’s victory makes perfect sense. Masvidal’s victory seems fair.
Dos Anjos vs. Moicano
Campbell: Accepting a fight on four days notice is a challenge for anyone. Add to that Moicano took separate 14-hour flights to and from Brazil within 48 hours of accepting the fight and it gets even tougher. But the Brazil native appears to be reborn at 155lbs, having won three of his last four. And he peaks at the right time, although fellow 37-year-old dos Anjos is a tough test for anyone. Look to Moicano to ride the momentum and rely on technique to claim a hard-fought decision in five rounds.
Mahjouri: Kudos to Moicano for stepping up on short notice, but the odds are so stacked against him. Moicano is not ready for a five-round fight. He just landed in Brazil after a 14-hour flight, and then headed straight back to Las Vegas in preparation for this fight. Moicano has looked renewed at lightweight, but he has yet to face top-level competition in this division. Dos Anjos has fought with just about every top fighter at lightweight and welterweight, from Khabib Nurmagomedov to Kamaru Usman. Going 25 minutes has never been a problem for the former UFC lightweight champion, who enters UFC 272 after recovering from serious injuries. RDA is well balanced, well conditioned and extremely experienced. It’s a challenge for most contenders, let alone an unranked fighter with five days to prepare.
Stream: What stands out as the biggest problem? Moicano arrives on short notice or dos Anjos is 37 and has been out of action since November 2020? Moicano has a lot of momentum and I’m afraid time has finally caught up with dos Anjos, who has always been a badass, and that forces Moicano to get to work making a decision.
Barboza vs. Mitchell
Campbell: For what Mitchell lacks in elite experience against such a respected veteran as Barboza, the 27-year-old Arkansas player seems to make up for it in confidence and aggression. The undefeated Mitchell is hitting his prime right now, having won all five of his trips to the Octagon. While his wrestling ability may be his real strength, there is an understated nature to his all-around game that could give the 36-year-old Barboza some tweaks provided Mitchell avoids getting caught big.
Wise: It’s as big a test as Mitchell could ask for at this point in his career. He’s far from the dominant wrestler Barboza was beaten to a pulp by Khabib Nurmagomedov, and his striking still leaves a lot to be desired. Barboza, meanwhile, has seemingly found his stride at 145 pounds despite the setback against Rafael Fiziev last time out. But even Fiziev offers a lot more danger in the stand-up – and proved it with his TKO of Barboza. Look for the Brazilian to control the tempo of this fight from range and possibly land one of those patent TKO headbutts late.
Who wins Masvidal vs. Covington? And which fighter is a must-have? Visit SportsLine now for detailed top picks on UFC 272all from the insider who has earned over $10,000 on MMA picks in the past two years, and find out.